The Overpopulation Lie is Killing Us!
(Part 1)
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"There are now 6 billion people on Earth. The planet's population will most likely continue to climb until 2050, when it will peak at 9 billion; other predictions have the world's population peaking at 7.5 billion in 2040. In either case, it will then go into a sharp decline. The world may soon be facing an under-population crisis -- a prospect that has all but escaped media scrutiny." -- Anthony C. LoBaido (http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=19076) .
"The world is NOT over-populated. More than 97% of the land surface on Earth is empty.... Yes, certain cities are over-populated, of course. Yet the entire population of the world could fit inside the state of Arkansas. So, then, how is the world 'over-populated'? Europe and Japan will be facing under-population crises in the coming decades, even according to UN studies on population." -- Anthony C. LoBaido (http://w114.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28797) .
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Overpopulation? -- 10 Myths
by Dr. Jacqueline R. Kasun, Economist and Author
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MYTH 1: The world is overcrowded and population growth is adding overwhelming numbers of humans to a small planet.
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In fact, people do live in crowded conditions, and always have. We cluster together in cities and villages in order to exchange goods and services with one another. But while we crowd together for economic reasons in our great metropolitan areas, most of the world is empty, as we can see when we fly over it. It has been estimated by Paul Ehrlich and others that human beings actually occupy no more than 1-3% of the earth's land surface.
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If you allotted 1250 square feet to each person, all the people in the world would fit into the state of Texas. Try the math yourself: 7,438,152,268,800 square feet in Texas, divided by the world population of 5,860,000,000, equals 1269 square feet per person. The population density of this giant city would be about 21,000 -- somewhat more than San Francisco and less than the Bronx.
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Another fact: World population growth is rapidly declining. United Nations figures show that the 79 countries that comprise 40% of the world's population now have fertility rates too low to prevent population decline. The rate in Asia fell from 2.4 in 1965-70 to 1.5 in 1990-95. In Latin America and the Caribbean, the rate fell from 2.75 in 1960-65 to 1.70 in 1990-95. In Europe, the rate fell to 0.16 -- that is, effectively zero -- in 1990-95.And the annual rate of change in world population fell from 2% in 1965-70 to less than 1.5% in 1990-95.
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Worldwide, the number of children the typical woman had during her lifetime (total fertility) fell from 5 in 1950-55 to less than 3 in 1990-95. (The number necessary just to "replace" the current generation is 2.1.) In the more developed regions, total fertility fell from 2.77 to 1.68 over the same period. In the less developed regions it fell from more than 6 to 3.3. Total fertility in Mexico was 3.1 in 1990-95. In Spain it stood at 1.3, and in Italy, it was 1.2.
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Official forecasts of eventual world population size have been steadily falling. In 1992-93, the World Bank predicted world population would exceed 10 billion by the year 2050. In 1996, the UN predicted 9 billion for 2050. If the trend continues, the next estimate will be lower still.
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MYTH 2: Overpopulation is causing global warming.
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The message that is most likely to arouse the fervor of young people is that overpopulation is destroying the environment and the biosphere. On this point, the first thing to keep in mind is that some of the most beautiful parts of the world, with the highest environmental quality, are in densely populated countries such as western Germany, which has more than 600 persons per square mile, and the Netherlands, which has almost 1200 persons per square mile, compared with 330 in China. Several myths promote the belief that we are engulfed in an environmental catastrophe. .
For instance, Vice-President Al Gore and some scientists say population growth is causing global warming. But there is much disagreement in the scientific community about this. Seventy-nine scientists issued the "Leipzig Declaration" in 1995 saying "...There does not exist today a general scientific consensus about ... greenhouse warming ...." Additionally, the satellite readings of global temperature, available on the NASA Web site at www.nasa.com, do not show a warming trend. And further, respected climatologists such as Hugh Ellsaesser, Richard S. Lindzen and Robert C. Balling vigorously dispute the notion of a global warming danger. .
MYTH 3: Overpopulation causes ozone depletion.
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Like global warming, the cause and significance of the so-called ozone "hole" is a matter of intense scientific dispute, although the United States and other nations have agreed to reductions in the use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), which were alleged to have caused it. S. Fred Singer, an atmospheric physicist who participated in the earliest ozone measurements, calls the ozone scare a "misuse of science." In fact, many think the chief function of the CFC ban has been to help big chemical companies establish highly profitable new monopolies on the CFC substitutes which they developed. .
MYTH 4: The world's forests are disappearing because of overpopulation.
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This is an important matter because forests are an essential part of the world's environment and, therefore, humanity's well-being. The Psalmists spoke in awe of the cedars of Lebanon. Today we know that trees inhale carbon dioxide and exhale oxygen, which means that they are a first line of defense against air pollution and the specter of global warming. The world forested area, estimated by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO), currently amounts to four billion hectares, covering 30% of the land surface of the earth. Few people realize this is the same figure as in the 1950s. .
In the United States, vast forests cover a third of the land, according to the US Forest Service. That's equivalent to two-thirds of the amount of land that was forested when the Europeans arrived in the 1600s. This acreage has not declined since 1920. In fact, annual forest growth today is more than 3-1/2 times what it was in 1920. Two-thirds of the nation's forests are classed as timberland, capable of producing at least 20 cubic feet per acre of industrial wood annually. Another fact: Trees are growing 33% faster than they are being cut.
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The highest volumes of growth occur on privately-owned forest industry land, while the government-owned national forests, where the trees are older, have the lowest volumes of tree growth. The National Wilderness Preservation System grew from nine million acres in 1964 to 96 million acres in 1993. But this is not enough for the environmentalists of The Wildlands Project, who hope to turn fully half of the land area of the United States into wilderness areas inhabited by grizzly bears, wolverines and mountain lions, and make it off-limits to humans. There has also been great agitation about the "destruction of the tropical rainforests." Someone has claimed that an area twice the size of Belgium is now being logged worldwide each year, but people don't realize Belgium could fit into the world's tropical forests 500 times, and in the meantime, the rest of the world's trees -- 99.6% of them -- are continuing to grow. One of the greatest of these tropical stands exists in Brazil, with more than half of the forests of South America.
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FAO and Brazilian government figures suggest that logging takes about 0.2% of forest acreage per year, and in 1993, Brazilian forests covered 58% of the country's total land area. Such figures hardly suggest a catastrophic decline. Another thing that's misleading is that FAO figures show a "decline" in forest cover even when forest land is appropriated for use as public parks, and not a single tree is cut down. And if in fact some deforestation is occurring in Brazil, it can scarcely be the result of overpopulation; Brazil has less than half as many people per square mile (31.2) as the world average (101).
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MYTH 5: Air pollution is the result of overpopulation, and acid rain, a byproduct of air pollution, is destroying lakes, rivers and forests.
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In fact, air and water pollution levels have been highest in the centrally-planned economies of Eastern Europe and China, where population growth is low or negative. Legendary air pollution in Poland and Russia has occurred in areas with thinly-settled populations. In the United States, air pollution is declining significantly. The federal government's National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program recently reported "no widespread forest or crop damage in the United States" related to acid rain. .
MYTH 6: Many plants and animals are disappearing because of the growth in human numbers.
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There is absolutely no scientific data whatsoever to support this claim. Even a scientist such as David Jablonski, who believes species will decline, says, "We have no idea how many species are out there and how many are dying." Some species, such as blue whales, spotted owls and blackfooted ferrets, have been found to be more numerous than was once thought. Since many species exist in forests and the earth's forest cover is remaining about the same, the claims of massive species extinction appear doubtful. .
MYTH 7: Overpopulation is threatening the world food supply.
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According to the Food and Agriculture Organization, world food supplies exceed requirements in all world areas, amounting to a surplus approaching 50% in 1990 in the developed countries, and 17% in the developing regions. "Globally, food supplies have more than doubled in the last 40 years ... between 1962 and 1991, average daily per caput food supplies increased more than 15% ... at a global level, there is probably no obstacle to food production rising to meet demand," according to FAO documents prepared for the 1996 World Food Summit. The FAO also reported that less than a third as many people had less than 2100 calories per person per day in 1990-92 as had been the case in 1969-71. .
At present, farmers use less than half of the world's arable land. The conversion of land to urban and built-up uses to accommodate a larger population will absorb less than 2% of the world's land, and "is not likely to seriously diminish the supply of land for agricultural production," according to Paul Waggoner, writing for the Council for Agricultural Science and Technology in 1994.
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MYTH 8: Overpopulation is the chief cause of poverty.
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In reality, problems commonly blamed on "overpopulation" are the result of bad economic policy. For example, Western journalists blamed the Ethiopian famine on "overpopulation," but that was simply not true. The Ethiopian government caused it by confiscating the food stocks of traders and farmers and exporting them to buy arms. That country's leftist regime, not its population, caused the tragedy. In fact, Africa, beset with problems often blamed on "overpopulation," has only one-fifth the population density of Europe, and has an unexploited food-raising potential that could feed twice the present population of the world, according to estimates by Roger Revelle of Harvard and the University of San Diego. Economists writing for the International Monetary Fund in 1994 said that African economic problems result from excessive government spending, high taxes on farmers, inflation, restrictions on trade, too much government ownership, and overregulation of private economic activity. There was no mention of overpopulation. .
The government of the Philippines relies on foreign aid to control population growth, but protects monopolies which buy farmers' outputs at artificially low prices, and sell them inputs at artificially high prices, causing widespread poverty. Advocates of population control blame "overpopulation" for poverty in Bangladesh. But the government dominates the buying and processing of jute, the major cash crop, so that farmers receive less for their efforts than they would in a free market. Impoverished farmers flee to the city, but the government owns 40% of industry and regulates the rest with price controls, high taxes and unpublished rules administered by a huge, corrupt, foreign-aid dependent bureaucracy. Jobs are hard to find and poverty is rampant. This crowding leads to problems such as sporadic or inefficient food distribution, but this problem is caused -- as in Ethiopia -- by that country's flawed domestic policies.
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It is often claimed that poverty in China is the result of "overpopulation." But Taiwan, with a population density five times as great as mainland China's, produces many times as much per capita. The Republic of Korea, with a population density 3.6 times as great as China's, has a per capita output almost 16 times as great. The Malaysian government abandoned population control in 1984, ushering in remarkable economic growth under free market reforms, while Ecuador, Uruguay, Bulgaria and other countries complained at the International Conference on Population and Development in Cairo that though they had reduced their population growth, they still had deteriorating economies.
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MYTH 9: Women and men throughout the world are begging for the means to control their fertility.
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Not so, according to reports from such places as Bangladesh, Africa and the Philippines. The fact is, surplus condoms and birth control pills fill warehouses in the less developed world and women flee the birth control workers and beg to have their implants and IUDs removed. .
US foreign assistance law requires countries receiving American foreign aid to take steps to reduce population growth [you can find this in 22 US Code, sec. 2151-1; 22 US Code, sec. 2151(b)]. Far from meeting an "unmet need" for birth control, foreign-supported family planners in India, Bangladesh and other countries must pay, or force, their clients to accept it, according to reports from these countries. Foreign-supported population control is so unpopular in Bangladesh that riots over this issue prevented the prime minister from attending the International Conference on Population and Development in Cairo in 1994.
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Dr. Margaret Ogola, a Kenyan pediatrician, disputed the claim of "unmet need" for family planning at the International Conference on Population and Develop-ment in Cairo in 1994. She said that foreign aid givers have lavished pills, condoms and IUDs on hospitals and clinics in Kenya, but that simple medicines for common diseases remain unavailable. A United Nations survey of abortion and birth control policies throughout the world found that high proportions of women were familiar with and were using "traditional" methods (NFP) of limiting births.
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In 1981, the typical Bangladeshi woman was having seven children during her lifetime; since then the number has fallen to 3.4. According to Bangladesh press reports in 1994, the secretary of health acknowledged that "coercion, blackmail [and] abuse of payment provisions" were problems in the population control program. Alarmed by extremely low fertility, South Korea reported to the International Conference in Cairo that it has slashed its government expenditures on birth control. Singapore, faced with below-replacement fertility, reported that it now offers tax rebates to couples with more than two children. Government-supported "family planning" agencies in the United States, such as Planned Parenthood, claim their services save public assistance costs. In fact, published research has shown that states which spend large amounts on birth control subsequently have higher costs of public assistance. Research also shows that states which require parental consent for a minor to have an abortion have lower rates of adolescent pregnancy.
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MYTH 10: Overpopulation causes war and revolution.
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The most war-torn continent on earth -- Africa -- is also one of the least densely populated, with about half as many people per square mile as in the world as a whole. Bad governments, propped up by ineptly and unjustly managed foreign aid, are more probably the root of strife. .
The worldwide movement which promotes population control is not small or weak. It is a powerful alliance of United Nations agencies, national governments, foundations and "nongovernmental organizations." It commands many billions of dollars in resources. Its members include family planning agencies, radical leftist environmental organizations such as the Sierra Club and the World Wildlife Fund, development planners, international financial institutions such as the World Bank, foreign relations agencies such as the US Agency for International Development, and "research" organizations such as Worldwatch Institute. Its ideology increasingly dominates school and college instructional programs and textbook publishing.
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Ultimately, however, its power rests on public ignorance in countries such as the United States. For the billions of people who inhabit God's creation, and for the billions more He intends it for, it's up to us to find out the truth about "overpopulation," and to share it with as many people as will listen.
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Dr. Jacqueline R. Kasun is an economist and the author of The War Against Population: The Economics and Ideology of World Population Control (Ignatius, 1988, 1998).
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My assessment:
It seems that the issue of overpopulation is not one genuinely geared toward easing poverty (as we have already seen that poverty will exist regardless of the world's population, but aimed squarely at control of the masses at the hands of a few elite. We can see why Planned Parenthood and other eugenists are for it: they'll never go out of business!! Notice the terms that those who believe that overpopulation is a real problem, do you see how often they use terms that denote or imply "control?" My question is WHO is going to control WHO and with what means? I believe that unless we can overturn this myth and expose it for what it is- the Holocaust will be small fries compared to the atrocities that await humankind in the rather near future. The proof for my concern is made evident in their proposed solutions.
Solutions:
solutions THEY offer: (emphasis mine)
We should:
- continue to strive to reduce suffering by combating disease and poverty around the world;
- continue to improve resource efficiency and pollution control so that standards of living can rise without negative impact; and
- keep human population to numbers that are sustainable. (watch out on this one!!!)
On the population front, that means:
- making sure people around the world have access to family planning services;
- empowering women in developing countries economically, socially, and legally in a manner that results in them having an equal say (with their husbands) in reproductive decisions;
- modifying school curricula to include information on population levels and implications for the future;
- reforming tax laws in a way that encourages couples to have no more than two children. (They would still be able to have as many kids as they want, but the tax code would no longer subsidize more than two.) (see, I told you it was about CONTROL)...
People are a good thing, but population growth without limit is not. The US and all developed countries should reinvigorate their international efforts to slow population growth. The future of the world depends on it! (notice how humans are now relegated to the "things" catagory?? that's NOT a good sign)...
solutions that don't involve controlling humans:
http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=174
Overpopulation? Not a problem! Tuesday, Sep 12 2006
futurism Michael Anissimov 3:28 am
The most frequently heard objection to using science to make people live longer is the issue of overpopulation. Our world is totally filled up as it is, right? Well, maybe. Let’s take pause for a moment, and look at a few numbers.
The United States has about 10,000,000 km² of land. The average population density is 30/km². The earth as a whole has about 150,000,000 km² of land and 350,000,000 km² of water, for a total area of roughly 500,000,000 km². The average population density on land is 40/km².
My hometown of Burlingame, CA, a typical suburb, including some very large houses, has an average population density of 2,000/km². The housing unit density is about 1,000/km². It is a calm suburban town, and certainly isn’t overcrowded.
New York City has an average population density of about 10,000/km². While it could be considered somewhat crowded, many people love living there, staying for the entirety of their busy and urban lives. Hong Kong has a population density of about 6,000/km², but despite this, is considered one of the greenest cities in Asia and has devoted 40% of its land to Country Parks and Nature Reserves. The population density of San Francisco is also about 6,000/km², and it is very pleasant to live here.
Population density by country:
So it turns out that if 5% of the United States were converted into urban area with a population density of 6,000/km², and 45% were converted into suburban area with a population density of 2,000/km², with the remaining 50% left for rural area, parks, and farms, there would be enough room for 3 billion in the urban areas, and 9 billion in the suburban areas, for a total population of 12 billion. This is in the US alone. This scheme could be extended to the other countries and continents for a total population of around 100 billion. Everything between the Arctic and Antarctic circles are potential targets for colonization. This is about 130,000,000 km² of land area (the circumpolar regions have about 20,000,000 km² of land).
Five primary obstacles to this 100 billion-person population scheme are colonizing the deserts, colonizing the highlands, providing energy, food, and disposal of waste.
colonizing the deserts: primarily a matter of air conditioning/heating and water sources, which can also be used to grow abundant plant life. To decrease the intensity of sunlight, dozen-square-kilometer sunshades can be deployed a few km above the ground in urban areas, held aloft with solar-powered airships. For heating during the night, grilles placed beneath the streets could radiate energy gathered during the day, warm enough to create a temperate atmosphere but not so hot as to create a fire hazard. Desalinization plants can produce fresh water in gigantic quantities, to serve the needs of billions of desert-dwellers. Including agricultural and industrial uses, the average person needs about 120,000 litres of water per year, which is 12 cubic meters of water. The world’s largest desalinization plant in Ashkelon, Israel, is capable of producing 100 million cubic meters of water per year, enough for over 8,000,000 people. Drilling down to the water table could provide similarly abundant sources of fresh water. The only problem remaining would be the sandstorms, which people could endure either by wearing adequate masks or going inside when they occur.
colonizing the highlands: people assume this is impossible, because there aren’t many roads there already. But the reason there aren’t many people living there is because few roads go there, and few roads go there because few people live there. Chicken and egg problem. To eliminate this, we switch to personal flying machines, on their way to general affordability by the mid-10s. Terraces can be created with simple dynamite, or less destructively with earthmoving aircraft. For altitude problems, you get injected with respirocytes, which we’ll see in the early 20s at the latest. As artificial red bloods cells, these simple diamond spheres will be capable of holding 236 times the oxygen per unit volume as their biological equivalents. Not only will you will able to breathe at very high altitudes, you’ll be able to sprint at high altitudes and hold your breath for minutes at a time without incident. Abundant tunneling through the mountains could also make them very fun and spacious place to live. Think of the part during Lord of the Rings when they’re wandering through the mountain caverns, but well-lit and filled with plants and animals that thrive under artificial light. Modern-day drilling techniques can remove ~50,000 tonnes of earth per day.
providing energy for 100 billion people requires different technology than our current fossil-fuel-based regime. The thorium fuel cycle, which could be implemented with current reactors, eliminates both nuclear proliferation and waste dangers, while costing much less than a uranium fuel cycle. Nuclear fusion, while it could take a few more decades to go commercial, will provide energy dozens or hundreds of times more abundant than fission reactors for less cost, using deutrium extracted from water for fuel. A kilogram of deutrium can produce a hundred million kilowatt hours of power. In the longer term, Helium-3 can be harvested from the moon, which provides much greater power output than deutrium. Chemist Ouyang Ziyuan from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, leader of the Chinese Lunar Exploration Program, is making the mining of Helium-3 a major goal. He is quoted as saying, “each year three space shuttle missions could bring enough fuel for all human beings across the world.” The efficiency of photovoltaic panels is increasing, year by year, while manufacturing costs are steadily decreasing. Arrays of hundred-kilometer-wide solar panels put in geosynchronous orbit will give us enough energy to boil all the oceans in the world, if we wanted to.
to provide food, we can exploit all of the world’s arable land, about 21% of all land mass, or 31,000,000 km². We should also start thinking in three dimensions rather than just two. Vertical farming will provide us with more food than we could possibly eat, even if there were a trillion of us. Terraforming Mars and Venus into farming planets will be entirely unnecessary. We can build oceanic cities that manufacture all types of seafood cheaply, including the super-nutritional algae spirulina, which we can process into a variety of textures. Marshall T. Savage describes this process in detail in his book The Millenial Project. Dr. Martin Schreibman of Brooklyn College has been in national media in the past few months for his efforts to encourage urban fish farming, where fish are kept in carefully-regulated tanks.
disposal of waste: we will genetically engineer bacteria to break down anything organic into mineral constituents. The “principle of microbial infallability“, commonly accepted across university biology departments, asserts that there is truly no biomatter that some microbe cannot consume. It’s just a matter of diligently determining which microbes can break down which compounds, and setting them to work. For artificial compounds such as plastics, we can incinerate them in gigantic sealed autoclaves, burying the ash in km-deep caverns carved out for the purpose, or, more simply, only produce recyclable plastics and ensure that the recycling process is as efficient and waste-free as possible. For manufacturing pollution, we’ll need to employ nanotechnology and bottom-up manufacturing techniques to ensure that our products are created without releasing waste into the environment. It can be done - chemists regularly oversee reactions with no byproducts, and with positional control over our atoms in our manufacturing economy, we will make certain that none go to waste.
The above is just an outline to buy us some time before we really do fill things up. But current trends are hopeful: when women are educated and contraceptives are made available to them, the birth rate plummets. The Vatican cannot hold back the pill for long.
The above image shows that in many developed countries, the birth rate is less than 1%/year and is sometimes even negative. As the death rate decreases, the birth rate will need to decrease in synch to preserve minimal population growth. I think this is doable, and we will probably be able to decrease the world population doubling rate from once every 25 years to about once every 50 years, and then possibly once every 100 years. For those who want to breed prodigously, there is always the rest of the solar system, which has the resources to support approximately 10^25 humans, by my estimate. Nick Bostrom points out that our local supercluster could support around 10^38 individuals.
In summary, there is plenty of room for everybody.
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Well, I hope I've given a balanced view of this situation and look forward to hearing your thoughts on the matter.
Comments (6)
I already new these things with common sense. I live in East Texas & all you have to do is leave town to see the expansiveness of the land here. I have never done the math but I bet with just the TX pop. here we would guessitamate that every person could have around 10-20 acres to themselves & thats a very LOW guess not a high one...maybe I should assign this to my two oldest to find out.
Great Post TTYL with our answer
Awesome post!!! You did a great job with all the info.
Great job! Very informative.
Sorry, not done - the money they spend commercializing the green movement and hemp clothing would be much better well spent doing those things you listed - colonizing desserts, finding what microbes can breakdown waste so we can eliminate all of our wastepiles, that vertical farming rather than buying out our current farmlands to make room to expand the current cities....